Military activity

Military activity on the territory of Belarus on September 2-8

Aviation activity, movements of the troops by rail and roads in Belarus.

The number of the Belarusian group, concentrated near the border with Ukraine, can be estimated at ≈ 1600 people. This is the minimum and confirmed number of troops. The number of redeployed units will be updated as new information becomes available.

There were active flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force. Most of the flights were connected with: 1) interception of Russian drones of the Shahed-136/131 type; 2) deployment of the Belarusian group in Homiel region.

No flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded in the airspace of Belarus.

Aviation activity

Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy, Lida, Baranavichy, Babruisk, Ziabrauka, Barautsy airfields, etc. Flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force were recorded.

Belarusian Air Force

Russian Aerospace Forces

Railroad activity

Movements by road

Separately, we should mention the following movements:

General conclusion on current situation

As of September 9, the following units of the Belarusian Armed Forces were concentrated in Homiel region: 

Belarusian Armed Forces:

Internal Troops, KGB, MIA:

Probably, within the framework of the described activities, one of the units of the 2287th Separate Radio-Technical Battalion of the 8th Radio-Technical Brigade (military unit 25886) was deployed in the vicinity of Sitnitsa (Luninets district, Brest region, 10 kilometers from the border with Homiel region). In total, at least 4 radars (including the Opponent-GE), ≈30 people.

The following require confirmation of being redeployed to the border:

Thus, as of September 9, the number of troops concentrated near the border with Ukraine could be ≈1600 people. This is the minimum confirmed number of troops of the established group. The number of the redeployed units is being clarified as new information becomes available.

The local authorities allocate civilian infrastructure for the deployment of units of the Belarusian Armed Forces. For example, the media reported about the transfer of a kindergarten building in Hrebeneuski (Zhytkavichy district, Homiel region) and a part of a student dormitory in Loyeu (Homiel region) to the military. According to available information, servicemen of the Belarusian Armed Forces were also accommodated in one of the dormitories in Lelchytsy (Homiel region).

The number of troops redeployed to Homiel region doesn’t pose a military threat to Ukraine. These events are an informational campaign of the Lukashenka regime in response to the launch of the military operation in Kursk region.

We can expect that units of the Belarusian Armed Forces will be stationed in Homiel region on a rotational basis in the coming months. The withdrawal of some units to the permanent deployment points will be affected, among other things, by the course of combat operations in Kursk region. However, the complete withdrawal of units of the Belarusian Armed Forces from Homiel region won’t take place yet.